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2022 CITY OF MANASSAS MARKET REPORT

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In 2022, the City of Manassas experienced a year of economic opportunity and community growth. From longtime Manassas-based businesses continuing their expansions, to an overnight building delivery, and several major economic development announcements, the commercial real estate market in the City reached new highs in 2022.

 


INDUSTRIAL & FLEX MARKET

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Given its location, strong business climate, and skilled workforce, the City of Manassas has long been an employment center for the region – particularly for industrial and manufacturing related activity. 2022 saw the City further cement itself as a top location of choice for industrial users, with major economic development announcements that will change Manassas for years to come:

These announcements helped propel the industrial/flex market to new highs in 2022, with vacancy for industrial space dropping to an all-time low of 1.3%. Accordingly, asking rents rose over 11% year-over-year, ending at $15.07 per square feet.

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RETAIL MARKET

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The City’s retail sector continued its run of strong leasing activity and stable rent growth, showing resilience against challenges from pandemic-related consumer behavior changes, higher interest rates, and rising inflation. At the end of 2022, vacancy among the 2.8M square feet of retail space in the City largely stayed steady at 4.7% (3.8% in Q4 2021). Asking rents also increased 6.5% year-over-year, ending the year at $26.67 per square foot.

2022 brought a number of highly visible retail developments in the City. On Liberia Avenue, Checkers & Rally opened their restaurant and drive-thru after trucking in the modular building earlier in the year. Next door, Chick-fil-A completed a major expansion and renovation to their facility, and Hangry Joes, a hot chicken restaurant with a Korean twist, opened at the Shops at Signal Hill. The Sudley Road commercial corridor also saw significant activity in 2022, including a new Roaming Rooster, WaWa’s plans to construct a new service station next to the UVA Health Prince William Medical Center, and longtime Manassas business Tang’s Bridal completing their third expansion in the City.

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OFFICE MARKET

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As a whole, the Northern Virginia office market recorded over 950,000 square feet of negative absorption in 2022 – meaning more open office space hitting the market than being leased. Changing work structures and office requirements pushed the regional office vacancy rate to an all-time high 21.8% in December (per CBRE).

Bucking that trend, demand for office space in Manassas remains strong. Overall office vacancy in the City ended the fourth quarter at a record low of 2.6%, down from 5% the previous year. Market rents rose 2.5% year-over-year to $24.50 per square foot as well.

A major highlight of office activity during 2022 was the opening of Bristow Pediatrics, the first commercial tenants opening at the City’s 40-acre, $150M mixed-use community The Landing at Cannon Branch. At the beginning of the year, Manassas City staff were relocated to several offices across the City for facility renovations and planned moves to the newly constructed John D. Conner III Public Safety Building. Historic Downtown Manassas saw a host of smaller office leases as well, headlined by First Care Women’s Health relocation and renovation of their Center Street facility. Near the City’s northern boundary, Didlake continued the buildout of their new 44,000 square-foot headquarters campus with plans to open in 2023.

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